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Phil Taylor  Joined: 5/26/2006 Posts: 2,598 Location: Perth WA  
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Nothing tantalising from me either, I just expect Warriors to roll all over Bucks so taking them at -6.5.
And prop bet of Monta to score the most points today at $4.
Good luck with whatever you go with!
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Eric Heiden  Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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SpiderPig wrote:You're right Hammer - tough day today. I'm leaning toward:
Miami ML
Lakers/Spurs Under 195.5 pts Man everyone and their mamas are on the Heat tonight and though its a square play, it could be the best play. But the thing is that Miami does have a tough time with D12 and this is NOT the same team they faced last time either. Orlando has the inside/outside game and defense to keep up with the Heat and it's a scary game to bet on IMO. That totals play looks mighty tasty... but I just can't bet on totals anymore. Been screwed way too many times to count! Good luck with both plays Glen!
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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jvalles69 wrote:Nothing tantalising from me either, I just expect Warriors to roll all over Bucks so taking them at -6.5.
And prop bet of Monta to score the most points today at $4.
Good luck with whatever you go with! Tough card when there's only three games on tap and two of them are so hard to call. The Warriors v Bucks game is likely the easiest one to cap and I think you're on the right side too and I was leaning Warriors to cover fairly easily. I have to admit folks... I'm not liking this TNT Thursday card at all and will likely sit back and watch college hoops all day unless I get some real good feeling on any of the games. Good luck to all in their handicapping and picks!
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Shane Warne  Joined: 1/15/2006 Posts: 1,809
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The deciding question is whether Andrew Bogut plays. If he doesn't, I'd be all over the Warriors -6.5. Milwaukee are playing back-to-back too, and Brandon Jennings still has his 24 minute restriction.
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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SpiderPig wrote:The deciding question is whether Andrew Bogut plays. If he doesn't, I'd be all over the Warriors -6.5. Milwaukee are playing back-to-back too, and Brandon Jennings still has his 24 minute restriction. I'm sure the line is good whether Bogut plays or not. Though he's their best player at the C position, they still have some good interior D with Sanders, Mbah a Moute and a scorer in the middle with Gooden. Really I'd rather Bogut play than not to be honest. Most punters put too much stock into who plays and who doesn't but the line is set a certain way for a reason and the oddsmakers have already factored everything in otherwise they'd be screwed.
EDIT: One thing to always remember, you're playing the lines more than you are the teams unless you are playing the ML.
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Phil Taylor Joined: 5/26/2006 Posts: 2,598 Location: Perth WA
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Hammer wrote:SpiderPig wrote:The deciding question is whether Andrew Bogut plays. If he doesn't, I'd be all over the Warriors -6.5. Milwaukee are playing back-to-back too, and Brandon Jennings still has his 24 minute restriction. I'm sure the line is good whether Bogut plays or not. Though he's their best player at the C position, they still have some good interior D with Sanders, Mbah a Moute and a scorer in the middle with Gooden. Really I'd rather Bogut play than not to be honest. Most punters put too much stock into who plays and who doesn't but the line is set a certain way for a reason and the oddsmakers have already factored everything in otherwise they'd be screwed.
EDIT: One thing to always remember, you're playing the lines more than you are the teams unless you are playing the ML. Gooden is out 6 weeks.
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Jean Louis Ravello  Joined: 1/25/2011 Posts: 44 Location: Canada
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Hammer wrote:Anyone have any tips on today's NBA games?  I'm really at a loss here and I don't want to post random picks. Honestly I'd just be guessing at this point. I'm leaning towards Orlando pk, Golden State -6.5 and Lakers -3.5, but I don't know if I can pull the trigger. Thoughts would be great! I really like Golden -6 For tonight it will be my only choice  GL 
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Phil Taylor Joined: 5/26/2006 Posts: 2,598 Location: Perth WA
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There goes my prop bet, Lebron with 21pts in the 1st quarter! 
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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jvalles69 wrote:There goes my prop bet, Lebron with 21pts in the 1st quarter! Not yet! We've seen Monta go apeshit many times in the past. Don't count yourself out yet man! LeBron started out hot that's for sure, but he's bound to cool down unless he's planning on trying to beat out Kobe's 81 LOL! Then you're in the shitter. But I'm surely rooting for your bet dude!
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Barack Obama  Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 15,003 Location: Australia
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Lebron is on fire.. 10/10fg already here.. hopefully he starts passing to Bosh
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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Thumbboy wrote:Lebron is on fire.. 10/10fg already here.. hopefully he starts passing to Bosh Yet if D12 hit all his FTs this would be a tie game. It's the LeBron show!
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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Hammer wrote:SpiderPig wrote:You're right Hammer - tough day today. I'm leaning toward:
Miami ML
Lakers/Spurs Under 195.5 pts Man everyone and their mamas are on the Heat tonight and though its a square play, it could be the best play. But the thing is that Miami does have a tough time with D12 and this is NOT the same team they faced last time either. Orlando has the inside/outside game and defense to keep up with the Heat and it's a scary game to bet on IMO. That totals play looks mighty tasty... but I just can't bet on totals anymore. Been screwed way too many times to count! Good luck with both plays Glen! Looking good so far with the Miami call Glen! I'm rooting for ya!
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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Alright it's official, I am not making ANY plays today in the NBA. It's all NCAA basketball today. Good luck to all who have placed bets. Looks like a lot of love for the Golden State Warriors so I will definitely be cheering for them to win and for Monta to go off and score a ridiculous amount of points!
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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Nice play Glen! Man that was a squeeze when it shouldn't have been! Crazy last minute or so of the game. 
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Shane Warne Joined: 1/15/2006 Posts: 1,809
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Hammer wrote:Nice play Glen! Man that was a squeeze when it shouldn't have been! Crazy last minute or so of the game. Thanks mate. Yeah, the fact Orlando had a chance to tie the game with the last shot was crazy! Should never have gotten that close! 
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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jvalles69 wrote:Hammer wrote:SpiderPig wrote:The deciding question is whether Andrew Bogut plays. If he doesn't, I'd be all over the Warriors -6.5. Milwaukee are playing back-to-back too, and Brandon Jennings still has his 24 minute restriction. I'm sure the line is good whether Bogut plays or not. Though he's their best player at the C position, they still have some good interior D with Sanders, Mbah a Moute and a scorer in the middle with Gooden. Really I'd rather Bogut play than not to be honest. Most punters put too much stock into who plays and who doesn't but the line is set a certain way for a reason and the oddsmakers have already factored everything in otherwise they'd be screwed.
EDIT: One thing to always remember, you're playing the lines more than you are the teams unless you are playing the ML. Gooden is out 6 weeks. Yep I saw that before tip, but you have to know that the bookmakers have already taken this into consideration and the line is usually pretty good. They know punters will likely go opposite of the team with the injuries and they can win a lot of $$$ that way. Always be careful with teams who have lost big players as it usually doesn't affect the team for a while. Players step up when needed, they are all professional athletes!
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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Shane Warne Joined: 1/15/2006 Posts: 1,809
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Good Luck Hammer! Love the Philadelphia plays, but vowed never to back them after they cost me last week against Memphis being up 21 at the end of the third qtr! I am going to make 1 play today - Boston v Dallas UNDER 189.5 pts
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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SpiderPig wrote:Good Luck Hammer! Love the Philadelphia plays, but vowed never to back them after they cost me last week against Memphis being up 21 at the end of the third qtr!
I am going to make 1 play today - Boston v Dallas UNDER 189.5 pts GL Glen! I want to take a crack at your totals as they've been good, but I have to pass. Like you with Philly, totals kill me so often.
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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Hammer wrote:SpiderPig wrote:Good Luck Hammer! Love the Philadelphia plays, but vowed never to back them after they cost me last week against Memphis being up 21 at the end of the third qtr!
I am going to make 1 play today - Boston v Dallas UNDER 189.5 pts GL Glen! I want to take a crack at your totals as they've been good, but I have to pass. Like you with Philly, totals kill me so often. Yep... Sixers fuck it up again. Oh well those bastards just suck I guess. I mean blowing a 14 point first quarter lead to be down 1 at the half... then bastards blow a 9 point lead down to 2 with less than a minute left in the game. Brutal! But that's the way I've been running lately... brutal. LOL
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Shane Warne Joined: 1/15/2006 Posts: 1,809
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Bad luck Hammer. Can't win them all day. Just need to regroup. My under isn't looking good - both teams shooting 60%. 
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Eric Heiden Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 2,902 Location: Hawaii
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Wow looking at going 1-5 in NBA, worse day since I began posting my picks again. To all who tailed I apologize profusely. I will be taking a break tomorrow to re-evaluate things and hopefully set the ship straight again! I will be back!
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Jean Louis Ravello Joined: 1/25/2011 Posts: 44 Location: Canada
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My picks for today : Lakers -5 over New Orleans Detroit / Milwuakee under 182 Gl All
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Barack Obama Joined: 9/24/2005 Posts: 15,003 Location: Australia
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acadiepoker wrote:My picks for today : Lakers -5 over New Orleans Detroit / Milwuakee under 182 Gl All congrats man, 2 from 2 the Lakers -5 must have had u worried near the end there with the 6pt win? 
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Barack Obama  Joined: 9/20/2005 Posts: 16,516
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Nice job acadie.
Whats on the cards for tomorrow guys?
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